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US macro snapshot

What the macro is doing right now.

Twelve series from FRED — yields, rates, vol, inflation, labor, production, energy. Updates cached for 5 min. Cite-friendly: every value links back to the source series.

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10-year Treasury
DGS10 · Daily
4.79%+0.040(+0.84%)
Risk-free benchmark. Discount rate for every long-duration cash flow.
2026-08-172026-09-01
0.00,46.67 9.09,53.33 18.18,93.33 27.27,66.67 36.36,33.33 45.45,60.00 54.55,100.00 63.64,86.67 72.73,80.00 81.82,40.00 90.91,26.67 100.00,0.00
2-year Treasury
DGS2 · Daily
4.39%+0.050(+1.15%)
Tracks Fed policy expectations. 2y > 10y = inverted curve.
2026-08-172026-09-01
0.00,90.91 9.09,90.91 18.18,90.91 27.27,90.91 36.36,68.18 45.45,68.18 54.55,100.00 63.64,90.91 72.73,86.36 81.82,22.73 90.91,22.73 100.00,0.00
Effective Fed Funds
FEDFUNDS · Monthly
3.63%+0.000(+0.00%)
Overnight bank-to-bank lending rate. The Fed's main lever.
2025-09-012026-08-01
0.00,0.00 9.09,22.03 18.18,57.63 27.27,84.75 36.36,98.31 45.45,98.31 54.55,98.31 63.64,98.31 72.73,100.00 81.82,100.00 90.91,100.00 100.00,100.00
VIX
VIXCLS · Daily, Close
16.34+1.42(+9.52%)
30-day implied vol on SPX options. Fear gauge. <15 calm, >25 stressed.
2026-08-172026-09-01
0.00,60.21 9.09,26.18 18.18,75.92 27.27,17.28 36.36,63.35 45.45,25.65 54.55,46.60 63.64,59.16 72.73,95.81 81.82,100.00 90.91,74.35 100.00,0.00
CPI (headline)
CPIAUCSL · Monthly
332.81+0.245(+0.07%)
Consumer prices, all items. The number politicians cite.
2025-08-012026-07-01
0.00,100.00 10.00,91.07 20.00,83.42 30.00,74.36 40.00,69.15 50.00,60.99 60.00,34.49 70.00,14.71 80.00,0.00 90.00,13.20 100.00,10.91
Core CPI
CPILFESL · Monthly
336.79+0.724(+0.22%)
Ex food + energy. The number the Fed actually watches.
2025-08-012026-07-01
0.00,100.00 10.00,89.87 20.00,81.06 30.00,70.18 40.00,56.37 50.00,46.23 60.00,37.02 70.00,19.27 80.00,9.42 90.00,10.21 100.00,0.00
PCE Price Index
PCEPI · Monthly
131.66+0.205(+0.16%)
Fed's preferred inflation gauge. Slower-moving than CPI.
2025-08-012026-07-01
0.00,100.00 9.09,92.40 18.18,86.76 27.27,80.33 36.36,70.61 45.45,60.38 54.55,48.56 63.64,28.77 72.73,16.33 81.82,1.90 90.91,4.70 100.00,0.00
Unemployment
UNRATE · Monthly
4.10%-0.100(-2.38%)
U-3 unemployment rate. Lower is better, until it isn't (Sahm rule).
2025-08-012026-07-01
0.00,50.00 10.00,25.00 20.00,0.00 30.00,25.00 40.00,50.00 50.00,25.00 60.00,50.00 70.00,50.00 80.00,50.00 90.00,75.00 100.00,100.00
Industrial Production
INDPRO · Monthly
102.99+0.207(+0.20%)
Real output of mining, manufacturing, utilities. 2017 = 100.
2025-08-012026-07-01
0.00,69.87 9.09,67.67 18.18,90.55 27.27,100.00 36.36,76.54 45.45,99.78 54.55,55.55 63.64,63.26 72.73,24.19 81.82,24.70 90.91,10.57 100.00,0.00
Initial jobless claims
ICSA · Weekly, Ending Saturday
203000.00-4000.00(-1.93%)
Weekly. Leading labor indicator. 4-week MA matters more than print.
2026-06-062026-08-22
0.00,0.00 9.09,7.32 18.18,34.15 27.27,31.71 36.36,31.71 45.45,51.22 54.55,100.00 63.64,78.05 72.73,73.17 81.82,43.90 90.91,56.10 100.00,65.85
WTI crude
DCOILWTICO · Daily
$91.48+4.45(+5.11%)
Spot price, $/bbl. Energy sector, inflation, geopolitics in one number.
2026-08-172026-09-01
0.00,67.83 9.09,62.34 18.18,52.37 27.27,21.57 36.36,53.24 45.45,64.09 54.55,94.51 63.64,100.00 72.73,83.17 81.82,86.16 90.91,55.49 100.00,0.00
USD Index (broad)
DTWEXBGS · Daily
118.75+0.390(+0.33%)
Trade-weighted USD. Higher = pressures EM, multinationals, commodities.
2026-08-132026-08-28
0.00,0.00 9.09,25.13 18.18,33.05 27.27,17.98 36.36,75.94 45.45,82.89 54.55,100.00 63.64,77.12 72.73,85.25 81.82,65.84 90.91,73.66 100.00,38.94
Upcoming releases

Economic calendar

Next 30 days of US macroeconomic releases. High-importance prints (CPI, NFP, FOMC, GDP, PCE) are flagged. Set an alert rule like “ping me 24h before the next CPI” from the agent chat.

Week of Aug 31 – Sep 61 release
  • Fri
    4
    Employment Situation (Jobs Report)High
    BLS
Week of Sep 7 – Sep 134 releases
  • Wed
    9
    Retail SalesHigh
    Census
  • Thu
    10
    Existing Home SalesMed
    NAR
  • Thu
    10
    Producer Price Index (PPI)Med
    BLS
  • Fri
    11
    Consumer Price Index (CPI)High
    BLS
Week of Sep 14 – Sep 203 releases
  • Wed
    16
    Retail SalesHigh
    Census
  • Thu
    17
    Housing StartsMed
    Census
  • Fri
    18
    Industrial ProductionMed
    Federal Reserve
Week of Sep 21 – Sep 271 release
  • Thu
    24
    Housing StartsMed
    Census
Week of Sep 28 – Oct 43 releases
  • Wed
    30
    Gross Domestic Product (GDP)High
    BEA
  • Wed
    30
    Personal Income & Outlays (PCE)High
    BEA
  • Fri
    2
    Employment Situation (Jobs Report)High
    BLS
Cite this page

Every value above traces to a public FRED series id. Click into any card title to see the source series at fred.stlouisfed.org. We don't host the data — we just put it on one screen.