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US macro snapshot

What the macro is doing right now.

Twelve series from FRED — yields, rates, vol, inflation, labor, production, energy. Updates cached for 5 min. Cite-friendly: every value links back to the source series.

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10-year Treasury
DGS10 · Daily
4.48%+0.040(+0.90%)
Risk-free benchmark. Discount rate for every long-duration cash flow.
2026-06-162026-07-01
0.00,61.54 10.00,15.38 20.00,38.46 30.00,0.00 40.00,7.69 50.00,76.92 60.00,84.62 70.00,100.00 80.00,100.00 90.00,53.85 100.00,23.08
2-year Treasury
DGS2 · Daily
4.17%+0.030(+0.72%)
Tracks Fed policy expectations. 2y > 10y = inverted curve.
2026-06-162026-07-01
0.00,100.00 10.00,21.05 20.00,26.32 30.00,0.00 40.00,42.11 50.00,68.42 60.00,78.95 70.00,89.47 80.00,73.68 90.00,52.63 100.00,36.84
Effective Fed Funds
FEDFUNDS · Monthly
3.63%+0.000(+0.00%)
Overnight bank-to-bank lending rate. The Fed's main lever.
2025-07-012026-06-01
0.00,0.00 9.09,0.00 18.18,15.71 27.27,34.29 36.36,64.29 45.45,87.14 54.55,98.57 63.64,98.57 72.73,98.57 81.82,98.57 90.91,100.00 100.00,100.00
VIX
VIXCLS · Daily, Close
16.59+0.140(+0.85%)
30-day implied vol on SPX options. Fear gauge. <15 calm, >25 stressed.
2026-06-162026-07-01
0.00,99.68 9.09,33.98 18.18,100.00 27.27,87.70 36.36,71.52 45.45,0.00 54.55,27.83 63.64,19.42 72.73,34.95 81.82,59.55 90.91,98.38 100.00,93.85
CPI (headline)
CPIAUCSL · Monthly
333.98+1.57(+0.47%)
Consumer prices, all items. The number politicians cite.
2025-06-012026-05-01
0.00,100.00 10.00,94.15 20.00,85.20 30.00,77.60 40.00,71.08 50.00,63.36 60.00,58.92 70.00,51.97 80.00,29.38 90.00,12.53 100.00,0.00
Core CPI
CPILFESL · Monthly
336.12+0.698(+0.21%)
Ex food + energy. The number the Fed actually watches.
2025-06-012026-05-01
0.00,100.00 10.00,87.90 20.00,75.87 30.00,67.39 40.00,60.00 50.00,50.89 60.00,39.32 70.00,30.83 80.00,23.11 90.00,8.25 100.00,0.00
PCE Price Index
PCEPI · Monthly
131.53+0.589(+0.45%)
Fed's preferred inflation gauge. Slower-moving than CPI.
2025-06-012026-05-01
0.00,100.00 9.09,95.46 18.18,88.50 27.27,81.56 36.36,76.42 45.45,70.55 54.55,61.68 63.64,52.34 72.73,41.56 81.82,23.49 90.91,12.31 100.00,0.00
Unemployment
UNRATE · Monthly
4.20%-0.100(-2.33%)
U-3 unemployment rate. Lower is better, until it isn't (Sahm rule).
2025-07-012026-06-01
0.00,66.67 10.00,66.67 20.00,33.33 30.00,0.00 40.00,33.33 50.00,66.67 60.00,33.33 70.00,66.67 80.00,66.67 90.00,66.67 100.00,100.00
Industrial Production
INDPRO · Monthly
102.65+0.138(+0.14%)
Real output of mining, manufacturing, utilities. 2017 = 100.
2025-06-012026-05-01
0.00,72.47 9.09,46.71 18.18,63.41 27.27,60.72 36.36,88.53 45.45,100.00 54.55,71.50 63.64,94.48 72.73,43.28 81.82,63.24 90.91,8.59 100.00,0.00
Initial jobless claims
ICSA · Weekly, Ending Saturday
215000.00-1000.00(-0.46%)
Weekly. Leading labor indicator. 4-week MA matters more than print.
2026-04-112026-06-27
0.00,55.00 9.09,37.50 18.18,100.00 27.27,77.50 36.36,45.00 45.45,50.00 54.55,45.00 63.64,12.50 72.73,0.00 81.82,7.50 90.91,35.00 100.00,37.50
WTI crude
DCOILWTICO · Daily
$71.87+1.57(+2.23%)
Spot price, $/bbl. Energy sector, inflation, geopolitics in one number.
2026-06-122026-06-29
0.00,0.00 10.00,21.67 20.00,48.14 30.00,43.50 40.00,45.14 50.00,52.84 60.00,76.42 70.00,93.89 80.00,87.06 90.00,100.00 100.00,91.43
USD Index (broad)
DTWEXBGS · Daily
120.89-0.169(-0.14%)
Trade-weighted USD. Higher = pressures EM, multinationals, commodities.
2026-06-112026-06-26
0.00,60.05 10.00,88.34 20.00,97.23 30.00,100.00 40.00,93.92 50.00,47.13 60.00,40.15 70.00,16.55 80.00,0.00 90.00,16.52 100.00,24.37
Upcoming releases

Economic calendar

Next 30 days of US macroeconomic releases. High-importance prints (CPI, NFP, FOMC, GDP, PCE) are flagged. Set an alert rule like “ping me 24h before the next CPI” from the agent chat.

Week of Jul 6 – Jul 122 releases
  • Thu
    9
    Retail SalesHigh
    Census
  • Thu
    9
    Existing Home SalesMed
    NAR
Week of Jul 13 – Jul 195 releases
  • Tue
    14
    Consumer Price Index (CPI)High
    BLS
  • Wed
    15
    Producer Price Index (PPI)Med
    BLS
  • Thu
    16
    Retail SalesHigh
    Census
  • Fri
    17
    Housing StartsMed
    Census
  • Fri
    17
    Industrial ProductionMed
    Federal Reserve
Week of Jul 20 – Jul 261 release
  • Fri
    24
    Housing StartsMed
    Census
Week of Jul 27 – Aug 22 releases
  • Thu
    30
    Gross Domestic Product (GDP)High
    BEA
  • Thu
    30
    Personal Income & Outlays (PCE)High
    BEA
Cite this page

Every value above traces to a public FRED series id. Click into any card title to see the source series at fred.stlouisfed.org. We don't host the data — we just put it on one screen.