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US macro snapshot

What the macro is doing right now.

Twelve series from FRED — yields, rates, vol, inflation, labor, production, energy. Updates cached for 5 min. Cite-friendly: every value links back to the source series.

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10-year Treasury
DGS10 · Daily
4.91%-0.030(-0.61%)
Risk-free benchmark. Discount rate for every long-duration cash flow.
2026-10-162026-11-02
0.00,25.00 9.09,0.00 18.18,12.50 27.27,8.33 36.36,79.17 45.45,62.50 54.55,62.50 63.64,66.67 72.73,41.67 81.82,70.83 90.91,87.50 100.00,100.00
2-year Treasury
DGS2 · Daily
4.59%+0.030(+0.66%)
Tracks Fed policy expectations. 2y > 10y = inverted curve.
2026-10-162026-11-02
0.00,28.00 9.09,16.00 18.18,8.00 27.27,0.00 36.36,64.00 45.45,48.00 54.55,52.00 63.64,44.00 72.73,56.00 81.82,80.00 90.91,100.00 100.00,88.00
Effective Fed Funds
FEDFUNDS · Monthly
3.88%+0.130(+3.47%)
Overnight bank-to-bank lending rate. The Fed's main lever.
2025-11-012026-10-01
0.00,0.00 9.09,64.00 18.18,96.00 27.27,96.00 36.36,96.00 45.45,96.00 54.55,100.00 63.64,100.00 72.73,100.00 81.82,100.00 90.91,52.00 100.00,0.00
VIX
VIXCLS · Daily, Close
21.15+1.73(+8.91%)
30-day implied vol on SPX options. Fear gauge. <15 calm, >25 stressed.
2026-10-162026-11-02
0.00,25.95 9.09,60.63 18.18,85.91 27.27,100.00 36.36,47.43 45.45,38.03 54.55,61.74 63.64,81.21 72.73,94.85 81.82,88.37 90.91,38.70 100.00,0.00
CPI (headline)
CPIAUCSL · Monthly
336.30+2.17(+0.65%)
Consumer prices, all items. The number politicians cite.
2025-11-012026-09-01
0.00,100.00 10.00,91.38 20.00,86.43 30.00,78.66 40.00,53.45 50.00,34.63 60.00,20.64 70.00,33.20 80.00,31.02 90.00,19.29 100.00,0.00
Core CPI
CPILFESL · Monthly
338.90+1.13(+0.33%)
Ex food + energy. The number the Fed actually watches.
2025-11-012026-09-01
0.00,100.00 10.00,90.18 20.00,77.72 30.00,68.56 40.00,60.24 50.00,44.23 60.00,35.34 70.00,36.05 80.00,26.83 90.00,14.40 100.00,0.00
PCE Price Index
PCEPI · Monthly
132.26+0.646(+0.49%)
Fed's preferred inflation gauge. Slower-moving than CPI.
2025-10-012026-09-01
0.00,100.00 9.09,94.29 18.18,85.11 27.27,76.38 36.36,66.35 45.45,48.18 54.55,35.48 63.64,22.74 72.73,25.77 81.82,23.95 90.91,14.46 100.00,0.00
Unemployment
UNRATE · Monthly
4.20%+0.100(+2.44%)
U-3 unemployment rate. Lower is better, until it isn't (Sahm rule).
2025-11-012026-09-01
0.00,0.00 10.00,25.00 20.00,50.00 30.00,25.00 40.00,50.00 50.00,50.00 60.00,50.00 70.00,75.00 80.00,100.00 90.00,100.00 100.00,75.00
Industrial Production
INDPRO · Monthly
103.95+0.684(+0.66%)
Real output of mining, manufacturing, utilities. 2017 = 100.
2025-10-012026-09-01
0.00,93.65 9.09,100.00 18.18,84.24 27.27,99.85 36.36,70.14 45.45,76.02 54.55,47.11 63.64,42.09 72.73,33.93 81.82,25.72 90.91,23.46 100.00,0.00
Initial jobless claims
ICSA · Weekly, Ending Saturday
194000.00-1000.00(-0.51%)
Weekly. Leading labor indicator. 4-week MA matters more than print.
2026-08-082026-10-24
0.00,0.00 9.09,27.78 18.18,44.44 27.27,27.78 36.36,27.78 45.45,77.78 54.55,77.78 63.64,72.22 72.73,77.78 81.82,66.67 90.91,94.44 100.00,100.00
WTI crude
DCOILWTICO · Daily
$103.37-1.88(-1.79%)
Spot price, $/bbl. Energy sector, inflation, geopolitics in one number.
2026-10-122026-10-27
0.00,100.00 9.09,97.34 18.18,91.01 27.27,35.29 36.36,11.98 45.45,0.00 54.55,14.11 63.64,40.35 72.73,38.22 81.82,1.93 90.91,31.69 100.00,44.21
USD Index (broad)
DTWEXBGS · Daily
121.67-0.070(-0.06%)
Trade-weighted USD. Higher = pressures EM, multinationals, commodities.
2026-10-152026-10-30
0.00,38.17 9.09,60.61 18.18,71.52 27.27,100.00 36.36,69.14 45.45,67.66 54.55,72.15 63.64,33.41 72.73,25.49 81.82,0.00 90.91,15.41 100.00,25.03
Upcoming releases

Economic calendar

Next 30 days of US macroeconomic releases. High-importance prints (CPI, NFP, FOMC, GDP, PCE) are flagged. Set an alert rule like “ping me 24h before the next CPI” from the agent chat.

Week of Nov 2 – Nov 82 releases
  • Fri
    6
    Retail SalesHigh
    Census
  • Fri
    6
    Employment Situation (Jobs Report)High
    BLS
Week of Nov 9 – Nov 153 releases
  • Tue
    10
    Consumer Price Index (CPI)High
    BLS
  • Thu
    12
    Existing Home SalesMed
    NAR
  • Fri
    13
    Producer Price Index (PPI)Med
    BLS
Week of Nov 16 – Nov 224 releases
  • Mon
    16
    Retail SalesHigh
    Census
  • Tue
    17
    Industrial ProductionMed
    Federal Reserve
  • Tue
    17
    Retail SalesHigh
    Census
  • Wed
    18
    Housing StartsMed
    Census
Week of Nov 23 – Nov 292 releases
  • Wed
    25
    Gross Domestic Product (GDP)High
    BEA
  • Wed
    25
    Housing StartsMed
    Census
Week of Nov 30 – Dec 62 releases
  • Wed
    2
    Gross Domestic Product (GDP)High
    BEA
  • Fri
    4
    Employment Situation (Jobs Report)High
    BLS
Cite this page

Every value above traces to a public FRED series id. Click into any card title to see the source series at fred.stlouisfed.org. We don't host the data — we just put it on one screen.